First and foremost, we recommend you look at our summaries of key issues and challenges and each party’s platform promises. While there are meaningful differences between the three progressive parties, there is considerable overlap as well and they agree on many beneficial policies. In almost every issue area, we have recommended that people can get the best outcome by voting for whichever party is most likely to beat the Conservatives in their riding.

Why is that?

We aren’t huge fans of strategic voting., But, in this election, it makes the most sense – because the two most likely outcomes are a PC majority and a PC minority, leading to a coalition government of the Liberals, the NDP and possibly the Greens.

This means that if there is a non-PC party that you particularly dislike, they can’t possibly form a majority and will be held in check by the party you prefer. It ALSO means that if you really like a certain party, you can actually give them more power by voting for your 2nd or 3rd choice party in your riding, because, in a Ford minority, they’ll be part of a governing coalition and will pass at least some of their policies.

A coalition government is also good because no party gets a blank cheque and it will be easier for the public to exert pressure on the policies being passed by the coalition.

Who is most likely to beat the Conservatives in my riding?

This question is harder to answer unfortunately.

Sites like votewell or StoptheSplit.ca are a good starting point and you should check them before making a decision, but you should also be aware that they are not based on riding-level polling. Instead they use models that adjust historical voting patterns in a riding based on the current province-wide polling and for that reason, they will overlook things like a candidate with strong name recognition or a good ground game.

We suggest that you check Votewell.ca and StoptheSplit.ca, then look around for lawn signs and talk to neighbours to see who they’ve heard about and who’s been at their door. If you get the same answer from all three sources — you can be confident you’re making a well-informed strategic vote.

If you’re in Toronto, your best option is to vote for the unity candidate endorsed by Notoneseat.ca.

If the PCs are ahead or behind by 15% or more in your riding then obviously vote for your preferred party. But if it’s close, you might be able to help your preferred party more by electing an MPP that will negotiate with your preferred party to pass good policies.

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